AA Francana - Jaguariuna

AA Francana - Jaguariuna
Brasil, Paulista B
Pick: 1
Odds: 1.83 BetVictor, 1.73 bet365
stake 2/10
16:00 EET (2 July)

AA Francana beat big leaders XV De Jau in last round and now have a few players returning. This is a crucial game for them to decide whether they will play in the next stage. Big support is expected, the club also introduced a new loyalty program a few days ago so I expect at least 1,000 fans in the stadium.
Jaguarina made some poor games and no chance for G4 already. Practically meaningless game for them and will have to make a 250km journey. Generally, they do not have many fans and concentrate on youth academies much more. I do no expect almost any supporters. It is hard to find team news about the league but in last game, their player received a red card and they undeservedly won (opponent with 2 red cards). When they met Franca in May they managed to get a 2-2 at home but again were favoured by luck. 14-25 shots and opponent played wth 10 men for the last minutes of the game.
My correct line is -0.75 @1.7 so I believe we have a rather good value here.

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